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The Echo of the Housing Bubble Popping in Jackson County
by Guy Tauer
Published May-25-2010

 
The recently announced closures of long-standing downtown Medford furniture stores Scan Design and Joseph Winan's Furniture Co. provide more evidence of the fallout from the decline in housing, construction and related activity in Jackson County. Prior to these closures, the Medford Mail Tribune published confirmation of the closing of Furniture Depot in Ashland in 2009 and McMahan's Furniture in late 2008. While employment in the furniture and home furnishing industry is confidential in Jackson County, how have other housing related industries fared during the Great Recession and the collapse of residential construction over the past few years?

During the great boom in construction, employment in housing-related industries grew by 18 percent from the second quarter of 2002 to the second quarter of 2006, compared to an increase of 11 percent in other industries. One in six jobs added over that time were in industries that benefited from the boom in housing and construction. From December 2006 to December 2009 (preliminary), this group of industries suffered deep losses in employment. During that period, these sectors accounted for one-third of all job declines in Jackson County. Net change in employment was greatest in construction activity, with specialty trade contractors and construction of buildings losing a combined 2,300 jobs. Graph 1 shows the net change in employment over the three most recent years.

Looking at the percentage decline by sector, mortgage brokers, cement and concrete manufacturing, and construction of buildings each lost more than 50 percent of employment during that time. The echo of the housing bubble popping is likely louder in these vacant and shuttered plants and businesses. Industries with high-flying gains during the boom continue to suffer even as the broader economy shows signs of recovery.

Graph 1
Net change in employment Dec 06-Dec 09 Jackson County housing related industries
Graph 2
Percentage change in employment Dec 06-Dec 09 Jackson County